The National Transport Commission’s (NTCs) Light Vehicle Emissions Intensity in Australia: Trends Over Time analyses data from nearly 17 million cars registered since 2003 and still in use today, providing a richer and more complete picture of emission trends than ever before.
“One of our key findings is that for light vehicles that entered the fleet since 2003 and are still registered, the average emissions intensity is 193.7 g/km – compared to an average of 165.2 g/km for new cars sold in 2023,” said NTC Chief Executive Officer and Commissioner Michael Hopkins.
“Nearly all the vehicles (93%) with an emissions intensity of less than and up to 120 g/km entered the fleet in the years since 2014.
“From 2017 to 2021, Australia’s emissions intensity dropped by less than 1% each year. Looking back, we actually performed better between 2002 and 2016 when emissions intensity fell by 28 per cent over the period.
”But there is good news: the emissions intensity for new vehicles sold in 2023 was down by 5% compared to 2022, marking the largest percentage drop since our reporting began.
While Australia is making progress on cutting vehicle emissions intensity, we’re still behind many developed countries. Our emissions intensity from new passenger vehicles is slightly above those in the United States and Canada, and significantly higher than the average of European countries.
“Our report also shows that more people are choosing electric vehicles from a greater range, with 127 models available in 2023, up from just six in 2015.
The average driving range of our battery electric vehicles (BEV) keeps getting better too and is now 470 km – 100 km higher than in 2021.
“More choice and better range have contributed to a 151% increase in the number of BEVs and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) sold in 2023 compared to 2022.
“But you don’t need to buy a BEV right now to make a difference to emissions. Nearly 100,000 hybrid vehicles were sold in 2023 so there are now more than 435,000 on our roads today. It’s made a material difference to emissions reductions this year.
“Price matters too but it’s not the most expensive cars that are always the best performers when it comes to emissions. Small cars costing less than $30,000 (USD 19,152) that were sold in recent years had an emissions intensity of less than 165 g/km.
Our report confirms Australia’s enduring love for our Commodores and Falcons. Many years now after local manufacturing ended, these models remain among the top 10 on our roads,
“While they are amongst the 75% of vehicles that have been on our roads for over a decade with an emissions intensity over 250 g/km, they were also built here at a time when there were many more small, lower emitting vehicles on our roads. Vehicles in the small class have dropped from 24% of all sales in 2013. By 2023 it was down to just 7%.
The report highlights that our vehicles are getting bigger. Light vehicles first registered in 2003 had an average footprint of 8.29 m2, but this had increased to 8.78 m2 in 2023.
Our research also shows Australian’s have developed a preference for SUVs and there are now 6.48 million on our roads making up 59% of all cars sold in 2023.
With new insights into how the cars on our roads are contributing to carbon emissions intensity and people’s preferences, governments now have a bigger picture that can help in developing new initiatives to support the electrification of transport.
Details of the report can be found on the NTC website at www.ntc.gov.au/light-vehicle-emissions-intensity-australia
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